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PAC Campaign Contributions Have Little Influence

Jeffrey Milyo, David Primo and Timothy Groseclose

Popular opinion suggests that campaign contributions can corrupt politicians. Many voters and researchers consider such contributions, especially those from Political Action Committees (PACs), to be the functional equivalent of bribes. It is generally believed that corporate PAC contributions: 1) significantly determine vote shares and electoral outcomes, 2) distort public policy and 3) are an essential component of corporate business strategies. However, University of Chicago Harris School Assistant Professor Jeffrey Milyo and two Stanford researchers argue that the empirical evidence does not fully support these claims. For example, during the 1998 election cycle PAC contributions and soft money expenditures each totaled roughly $220 million, whereas spending on lobbying and philanthropic efforts reached $2.3 billion and $17.4 billion, respectively. The stark disparities in these figures challenge traditional assumptions concerning the value of PAC contributions. The authors examine the corporate giving activities, including lobbying and philanthropic expenditures, of five major industries in order to assess the relative influence of PAC contributions. According to the researchers, one-time PAC donations could be considered "entrance fees" which provide access to a legislator but at the same time require no contractual obligation to support corresponding legislation.

Key Finding

Milyo and his colleagues argue that PAC contributions are not the most likely means by which to influence policy makers given the restrictions and regulations in place to safeguard against possible corruption. PACs are allowed to contribute a maximum of $5,000 to a candidate per election, a very small amount compared to the millions of dollars often spent on a political campaign. In contrast, soft money contributions (other activities not directly related to Federal campaigns) are not limited. Specifically, the authors compared the political and charitable activities of firms from the five industries thought to be the most politically influential - tobacco, pharmaceutical & medical products, telephone utilities, defense aerospace, and computer - for the 1997-1998 period. A basic spending pattern emerged: lobbying expenses far exceeded PAC contributions, and even more was allocated towards corporate philanthropy across all industries. For instance, the pharmaceutical firms as a group spent $148 million on lobbying, compared to less than $5 million in either soft money or contributions from affiliated PACs. Individual pharmaceutical firms spent at least 100 times more on corporate philanthropy than soft money and affiliated PAC contributions combined ($100 million vs. $1 million.)

While Milyo and his colleagues find a positive relationship between roll-call votes and the interest of their PAC contributors, they argue that there is no proven relationship between PAC contributions and the actions of the legislators who received the contributions.

The authors sustain that this correlation does not incorporate the preferences of the legislators or their constituents (i.e. how the legislators would vote in absence of campaign contributions). Studies that attempt to control for these preferences find no evidence of influence in the roll-call votes of members of Congress.

Furthermore, the authors point out that because PAC contributions are one-time donations, they do not carry an enforceable contract - no law prevents the legislator from reneging on the implied "understanding." Thus, the authors content that the operation of a market for political favors is hindered.

According to this study, the activities of PACs challenge the conventional wisdom that PAC contributions are an attempt to bribe legislators. Firstly, they find that few PACs donate the maximum contribution allowed by law. On average, labor PACs donate $1,500, trade PACs donate $1,300, and corporate PACs donate only $700. If the contributions were an attempt to sway legislators, one might expect that the maximum amount of money possible would be donated. Secondly, while it would seem logical that more money would be given to those in powerful positions, such as the office of a president or senator, the authors find that PAC activities are aimed at congressional representatives. Moreover, they show that a disproportionate share of PAC contributions are made to those who are running for election, compared to seated politicians. Those senators up for election raise three times more PAC money than the remaining 66 incumbents.

Background

There is a vast empirical literature on both the allocation of corporate PAC contributions in congressional elections and the influence that these contributions have on the policy making process. A opinion poll conducted by the Center for Responsive Politics (www.crp.org) during the 1998 election cycle revealed that most respondents support an outright ban on PAC contributions. This attitude reflects the popular opinion that money plays a dominant and influential role in American politics. The same poll revealed that only 41% of respondents were aware that existing laws limit contributions and only 4% knew that the current law prohibits corporate contributions. While many studies have explored the statistical relationships between corporate or industry PAC contributions and legislators' committee assignments and roll call votes, relatively little scholarly attention has been devoted to the substantive importance of PAC contributions either to candidates or to donors.

Methodology

For this study, all statistical information on PACs and campaign contributions was obtained from the Federal Election Commission. The researchers compiled the data into seven tables: PACs and PAC Contributions by Type; Distribution of PACs by Total Contributions in the 1998 Election Cycle; PAC Contributions to Current Candidates; Distribution of PAC Contributions (to House and Senate Incumbents); Distributions of PAC Contributions (to House and Senate Democrats); Corporate PAC Campaign Contributions in Perspective, and Industry Profiles. Those tables outlined the patterns of PAC contributions and composed the researchers' core findings.

Read a related interview with Jeffrey Milyo

Policy Briefs are designed to highlight key policy implications and to broaden the dissemination of policy-related research. These Briefs are funded by the Irving B. Harris Graduate School of Public Policy Studies at the University of Chicago.

For more information, contact Jamie Rosman at (773) 702-2287 or HarrisSchool@uchicago.edu.


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