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Working Paper Abstract

Working Paper Series: 07.19

Further Results on Measuring the Well-Being of the Poor Using Income and Consumption
Bruce D. Meyer and James X. Sullivan
http://www.harrisschool.uchicago.edu/faculty/web-pages/bruce-meyer.asp

Abstract:
In the U.S., analyses of poverty rates and the effects of anti-poverty programs rely almost exclusively on income data. In earlier work (Meyer and Sullivan, 2003) we emphasized that conceptual arguments generally favor using consumption data to measure the wellbeing of the poor, and, on balance, data quality issues favor consumption in the case of single mothers. Our earlier work did not show that income and consumption differ in practice. Here we further examine data quality issues and show that important conclusions about recent trends depend on whether one uses consumption or income. Changes in the distribution of resources for single mothers differ sharply in recent years depending on whether measured by income or consumption. Measures of overall and sub-group poverty also sharply differ. In addition to examining broader populations and a longer time period, we also consider new dimensions of data quality such as survey and item nonresponse, imputation, and precision. Finally, we demonstrate the flaws in recent research that concludes that consumption and income trends are similar for disadvantaged households, and that consumption data at the bottom are of lower quality than income data.

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